Population Decline in the West

I get a chuckle out of this issue, whenever it’s brought up…
The way the western nations are sooo concerned about not ( giggle ) ‘replacing ourselves’ when the population growth unexpectedly levels off, and actually goes into a mild decline.

The alarm over this is most unusual when you consider the dire predictions and strident warnings about overpopulation that went on for decades and decades, without any let-up…
Now, the population growth slows up and declines a little, doctor Malthus breathes a sigh of relief – and there is a wave of panic!

Quick! Let’s bring in some troublesome foreigners who do not respect or understand us, or our culture! It would be catastrophic if our population were to decline!

Personally, I cannot help but see a mild population decline in western nations as a very good thing. – Something to adjust to, for sure, but so much nicer for all to adjust to than continued population growth would have been.

Duh.

Look around you… Do you really see a shortage of other people as being the big problem?
- Or is it really more a case of failed social engineering that has gotten us to the point where any ray of sunshine must be covered over quickly, so as not to rock the boat?

Kind of makes you wonder what is so special about that boat ( social justice, entitlements, etc.. ) that it is supposed to be worth making so many people miserable, needlessly miserable on a chronic, ongoing basis. Everything and everybody gets a nice fresh coat of dull grey paint!

They say that all good humor is rooted in tragedy. Citizens of the old, dead USSR used to joke that if the government were put in charge of a barren desert, there would soon follow a shortage of sand.

Now we see an engineered panic over an alleged shortage of people, used to justify one stupid, self-destructive policy after another.

I can’t say that I’m surprised – but sometimes I am amused.

- And people say that there is no transparency in government!

 

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Power and Bandwidth

A good rule of thumb in this digital age is to look at bandwidth in much the same way we look at power, where we utilize the minimum power necessary in order to communicate, and those who routinely utilize more power than necessary are looked down upon by the amateur radio community as Lids. – The PSK31 splatterers would be a good example.

Using too much bandwidth creates the same obnoxious condition as running too much power, where a wide swath of spectrum is denied to other amateurs for no good reason.

If you are using a wide digital signal to swap macros, exchange 599′s etc. then you are no different from any PSK31 splatterer. – The end result is the same. You’re doing the same job as everyone else, but not as well and while you are at it, you are hogging up way more spectrum than is necessary.

To no particular point.

Spectrum pollution is spectrum pollution, whether it is brought on by some fellow running too much power, or another fellow running too much bandwidth.

As the hobby grows and changes, so do our operating rules.

We do not have a minimum bandwidth rule – yet – but the technology has pulled ahead of our regulations a bit, making it just a matter of time until we do.

Rule or no rule, amateurs are already formulating an opinion about spectrum hogs who use too much bandwidth for no good reason. We don’t have to wait for new PART97 language to know a Lid when we see one.

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Occupy Wall Street – In Brief

Naked envy points an accusing finger at naked greed.

Pot meets kettle – and it ain’t purdy.

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Make You Angry?

Being angry is a voluntary response. – No-one has the power to “make you” angry. A lot of people get anger confused with the ‘fight or flight’ response to a perceived threat or injury.

Someone can most certainly “make you” go into fight or flight mode, but anger has a voluntary component. You have to be a willing participant in order for any event to “make you” angry. The trigger for this is a highly personal matter that goes to the root of your individual, self-realized identity.

- So when somebody describes being “made angry” by some event, they are describing an internal line in the sand that they have settled upon at some level. It is a very personal confession that not everyone is ready to make. Sometimes, we hide our anger…

On the other hand, sometimes we ‘draw the line right here’, and let everyone know about it. This is part of the process of socializing anger, sharing our trigger criteria for the consideration of our peers.

On occasion, anger is really the best, most appropriate response. It is one of many facets of any fully developed personality. The folks who pretend to themselves that anger is no longer an option for themselves are indulging in ‘passive-aggression’, which can be every bit as nasty as the eyes-wide-open variety, if not more so.

They get talked into thinking that anger is a bad thing, inappropriate somehow – so they nobly attempt to eliminate it within themselves.

- But guess what?

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Amateur Radio Operators Getting Older

The average ham in 1960 was 28. Today the average ham is over 50.

Hams are getting older, and many of us view this fact with alarm.

Some of the alarm springs from a feeling of being swept along by forces that we do not understand. It is a paralyzing, helpless kind of feeling that puts a shadow upon our view of the hobby’s future. Over and over, we hear the question, “Is Ham Radio becoming obsolete?”

It’s not quite that bad.

To understand what has caused the average age of ham radio operators to climb over the half-century or so – just follow the money.

In the 1960′s basic electronics could easily carry you into a good paying job. Since ham radio was a gateway to employment, then it was natural that the average ham in that era would be either a young upwardly mobile adult, or a teenager who was preparing for the job market. When you add in the older hams of the era, the average age climbs – but not by much.

Today, knowledge of basic electronics along with a dollar or so will get you a cup of coffee almost anywhere… It is still requisite knowledge for many professions, but the great majority of the meat ‘n potatoes jobs like TV or CB repair shops that used to employ many thousands of electronics techs all over the country are simply no longer there.

Electronics has advanced to the point where an electronic repair shop in every hamlet is no longer economically viable. – It’s the same thing with the auto mechanics that used to be everywhere. The cars are more reliable and last longer – so you don’t see so many auto mechanics as you used to, and service stations morphed into gas stations, then convenience stores as you can’t really get by, just selling gas like you could back in the 60′s.

The money in amateur radio today is in the baby boomer generation. Most new hams today are older hams.

In our discussions, it seems like sooner or later we will always hear some depraved comment about how the OF ( Old Fart ) hams who populate amateur radio today are all going to drop dead, and the hobby will die with them if we don’t get some of the kids excited about ham radio.

There are two great big, gaping logic holes in this reasoning:

( 1 ) Those old hams keep dying all the time – but somehow they still retain the majority! – This is only a mystery if you do not understand that a steady stream of new OF’s are constantly replacing the ones who have become silent keys. Most new hams today are boomers. It is this constant renewal that supports amateur radio today because:

( 2 ) Kids are nice – but they are not joining the hobby in any great numbers, and never have. It should also be recognized that in following the money, there’s no point looking at a kid when there is an established retiree on hand. – Get the picture?
So most of these discussions about hams getting older, where all the hand-wringing about the kids goes on – is a load of sentimental horse-hockey, based upon an erroneous assumption. – GIGO.

Sure the average age of amateur radio operators has climbed considerably since the 1960′s… We would have been out of business by now, if it hadn’t.

It’s a very good thing that most hams today are old coots, and the influence of children upon our continued success in this particular day and age is ( pardon the pun ) minor at best.

It may be several decades before things start to change, as the age of the average ham starts to be somewhat younger. In the mean-time, I for one think it is kind of dumb to castigate and ignore our primary source of new amateurs while we get all gooey over the age group that has the very least to do with amateur radio’s growth today.

Every time you hear about some bright idea for bringing children into the hobby, it might be a good idea to ask, “What are you doing to bring in the boomers?”

That’s where the numbers and the money are. That’s also where you look today to find people who understand the magic of radio communications, and who are much better prepared to appreciate and participate in the fraternal, social aspect of amateur radio.

We should of course always encourage people of all ages and walks of life around the world to participate in amateur radio. – Nobody should ever be excluded or discouraged; That’s not our style.

When almost all of our discussion about growth focuses upon youth though, overlooking and ignoring our most active and productive demographic ( boomers ) – it strikes me that this is most unfair to the majority of hams today, and to the hobby in general as it misdirects both our attention and our resources.

So I guess the question today is, “What are we doing to bring in the boomers?”

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Packet Radio and EMCOMM

I believe that it would be safe to say that I am a Packet Radio enthusiast, but I have to say that I do not particularly advocate Packet Radio for emcomm use. – If that’s what you have and it works for you, that’s fine – but I would not recommend building new Packet infrastructure on the strength of its utility for emcomm.

Note the word ‘infrastructure’ in the sentence above, which goes far in explaining why a Packet enthusiast from way back when would steer emcomm folks clear of building the stuff for their particular task.

Don’t get me wrong; I still have yet to see anything do what Packet Radio mode does – better. There was a brief flash of hope in Q15x25 mode, but those hopes were dashed when on the air testing returned discouraging results. Hopefully we will see a more advanced and generally useful AX25 digital mode one of these days, but so far Packet has not been equaled, much less bettered.

The comments about Packet being difficult and slow to set up and learn apparently must have been the result of trying to teach and learn at the same time, putting the cart before the horse. Most experienced Packet ops know about soundcard programs that are no more difficult to set up and operate than FLDIGI is.

If the Winlink folks want to add another layer of complexity and difficulty to Packet that is fine – but do not blame Packet because the result is complicated and difficult, eh?

For step-by-step instructions including screen shots of how to get going with advanced VHF soundcard Packet ( Flex32 ) and a great terminal program ( Paxon ) see:

http://uspacket.org/network/index.php/board,8.0.html

The articles are a bit outdated as the software has improved since they were written, but the basic info there is still fresh enough to get you by.

Personally I use MixW as it offers an HF Packet modem too ( the best available ) and can be operated as a virtual KISS device, but many amateurs object to paying for software so I hesitate to recommend it here.

So, though I am a big fan of Packet Radio, I am not a big fan of attempts to utilize it for emcomm.

Sure, you can use a butterknife as a screwdriver – in a pinch – but it’s much better to use a tool specifically designed for the job at hand.

If you are starting off from scratch, I recommend NBEMS for emcomm. – It’s designed for it.

If something demonstrably better comes up – I’ll recommend that.

I do not put amateur Packet Radio forward though, as a preferred emcomm solution… It’s great! – But not for that.

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Forced Down the Magnetotail

Awestruck scientists watch as a plasma sheet in the Earth’s magnetosphere is abruptly pinched off by a gust of solar wind, and left behind without so much as a “Howdy-do!”

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Internet cop

President Obama’s top man at the Federal Communications Commission tries to regulate the Net.

Read the whole thing.

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Antarctic Lake Under the Ice Undisturbed for 15 Million Years

- But now a team of scientists are busting their butts to dig down and disturb it.

A few decades back, a girlfriend I had back then was looking at pictures of the moon landings, while sitting on the sofa.

There were the eternal footprints, left in the thick lunar dust.

“What they don’t show you in these pictures,” she said disapprovingly, “are the puddles of urine and the empty beer cans, strewn around.”

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Astronomers Disappointed

Astonished astronomers have discovered unexpected changes in X-ray emission from the Crab Nebula, respected and widely depended upon for years as the steadiest high-energy source in the sky.

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